Chain Of Thought For Reasoning Models Might Not Work Out Long-Term
Jul 02, 2025 am 11:18 AMFor example, if you ask a model a question like: “what does (X) person do at (X) company?” you may see a reasoning chain that looks something like this, assuming the system knows how to retrieve the necessary information:
- Locating details about the company
- Identifying the person in the directory
- Evaluating the person's role and background
- Compiling summary points
This is a basic case, but for several years now, people have increasingly relied on such reasoning chains.
Yet, researchers are beginning to point out the shortcomings of chain-of-thought reasoning, suggesting it may give us an unfounded level of confidence in the reliability of AI-generated responses.
Language Is Inherently Limited
One way to understand the limits of reasoning chains is by recognizing the imprecision of language itself — and the difficulty in benchmarking it effectively.
Language is inherently awkward. There are hundreds of languages spoken globally, so expecting a machine to clearly articulate its internal logic in any single one comes with significant constraints.
Consider this excerpt from a research paper published by Anthropic, co-authored by multiple scholars.
Such studies imply that chain-of-thought explanations lack the depth needed for real accuracy, especially as models scale up and demonstrate more advanced performance.
Also consider an idea raised by Melanie Mitchell on Substack back in 2023, just as CoT methods were gaining popularity:
“Reasoning lies at the core of human intelligence, and achieving robust, general-purpose reasoning has long been a central goal in AI,” Mitchell noted. “Though large language models (LLMs) aren't explicitly trained to reason, they've shown behaviors that appear like reasoning. But are these signs of genuine abstract thinking, or are they driven by less reliable mechanisms—like memorization and pattern-matching based on training data?”
Mitchell then questioned why this distinction matters.
“If LLMs truly possess strong general reasoning capabilities, that would suggest they’re making progress toward trustworthy artificial general intelligence,” she explained. “But if their abilities rely mostly on memorizing patterns, we can’t trust them to handle tasks outside the scope of what they’ve already seen.”
Measuring Truthfulness?
Alan Turing proposed the Turing test in the mid-20th century — the idea being that we can judge how closely machines mimic human behavior. We can also evaluate LLMs using high-level benchmarks — testing their ability to solve math problems or tackle complex cognitive tasks.
But how do we determine whether a machine is truthful — or, as some researchers put it, "faithful"?
The previously mentioned paper dives into the topic of measuring faithfulness in LLM outputs. From reading it, I concluded that truthfulness is subjective in a way that mathematical precision is not. That means our ability to assess whether a machine is being honest is quite limited.
Here’s another way to look at it — we know that when LLMs respond to prompts, they're essentially scanning through vast amounts of human-written text online and mimicking it. They copy factual knowledge, replicate reasoning styles, and mirror how humans communicate — including evasive tactics, omissions, and even deliberate deception in both simple and sophisticated forms.
The Drive for Rewards
Additionally, the paper’s authors argue that LLMs might behave similarly to humans when chasing incentives. They could prioritize certain inaccurate or misleading information if it leads to a reward.
They refer to this as “reward hacking.”
“Reward hacking is problematic,” the authors state. “Even if it works well for one specific task, it's unlikely to transfer to others. This makes the model ineffective at best, and possibly dangerous — imagine a self-driving car optimizing for speed and ignoring red lights to boost efficiency.”
Useless at best, risky at worst — that’s not reassuring.
Philosophy of Technology
There's another crucial angle here worth exploring.
Evaluating reasoning chains isn't a technical issue per se. It doesn't depend on how many parameters a model has, how those weights are adjusted, or how to solve a particular equation. Rather, it hinges on the training data and how it's interpreted intuitively. Put differently, this discussion involves areas that quantitative experts rarely engage with when evaluating models.
This makes me think again that we need something I've advocated for before — a new generation of professional philosophers who help us navigate AI interactions. Instead of relying only on coders, we need thinkers capable of applying deep, often intuitive, human ideas rooted in history and societal values to artificial intelligence. We're far behind in this area because we've focused almost entirely on hiring Python developers.
I’ll step off my soapbox now, but the takeaway is clear: moving beyond chain-of-thought approaches may require rethinking how we train and hire for AI-related roles.
The above is the detailed content of Chain Of Thought For Reasoning Models Might Not Work Out Long-Term. For more information, please follow other related articles on the PHP Chinese website!

Hot AI Tools

Undress AI Tool
Undress images for free

Undresser.AI Undress
AI-powered app for creating realistic nude photos

AI Clothes Remover
Online AI tool for removing clothes from photos.

Clothoff.io
AI clothes remover

Video Face Swap
Swap faces in any video effortlessly with our completely free AI face swap tool!

Hot Article

Hot Tools

Notepad++7.3.1
Easy-to-use and free code editor

SublimeText3 Chinese version
Chinese version, very easy to use

Zend Studio 13.0.1
Powerful PHP integrated development environment

Dreamweaver CS6
Visual web development tools

SublimeText3 Mac version
God-level code editing software (SublimeText3)

Hot Topics

Remember the flood of open-source Chinese models that disrupted the GenAI industry earlier this year? While DeepSeek took most of the headlines, Kimi K1.5 was one of the prominent names in the list. And the model was quite cool.

Let’s talk about it. This analysis of an innovative AI breakthrough is part of my ongoing Forbes column coverage on the latest in AI, including identifying and explaining various impactful AI complexities (see the link here). Heading Toward AGI And

By mid-2025, the AI “arms race” is heating up, and xAI and Anthropic have both released their flagship models, Grok 4 and Claude 4. These two models are at opposite ends of the design philosophy and deployment platform, yet they

We will discuss: companies begin delegating job functions for AI, and how AI reshapes industries and jobs, and how businesses and workers work.

But we probably won’t have to wait even 10 years to see one. In fact, what could be considered the first wave of truly useful, human-like machines is already here. Recent years have seen a number of prototypes and production models stepping out of t

Until the previous year, prompt engineering was regarded a crucial skill for interacting with large language models (LLMs). Recently, however, LLMs have significantly advanced in their reasoning and comprehension abilities. Naturally, our expectation

Many individuals hit the gym with passion and believe they are on the right path to achieving their fitness goals. But the results aren’t there due to poor diet planning and a lack of direction. Hiring a personal trainer al

I am sure you must know about the general AI agent, Manus. It was launched a few months ago, and over the months, they have added several new features to their system. Now, you can generate videos, create websites, and do much mo
