Table of contents

• Key Points
• A brief overview of macro and policy in August
• Major events must be seen in August
• Weekly Economic Calendar Disassembly in August
• Week 1: August 1-7
• Week 2: August 8th – 14th
• Week 3: August 15th – 21st
• Week 4: August 22-28
• Week 5: August 29-31
• Risk management and precautions
• Frequently Asked Questions about August Economic Calendar

Key Points

• – The dates that affect Bitcoin and Ethereum’s biggest fluctuations are: August 1 (US non-farm employment data), August 12 (US CPI), August 21-23 (Jackson Hall Annual Meeting), and August 29 (Core PCE and second-quarter GDP).
• – August 12 is the expiration date of the Sino-US tariff truce, which may affect market risk preferences and the flow of stablecoin funds.
• – China data and PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) released in the middle of the month usually determine the risk preferences in the Asia-Pacific region and are important signals for trading BTC and ETH.
• – On the day of a critical event, using one order to cancel another (OCO) order using BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT futures can both capture fluctuations and avoid guessing directions.
• – Pay attention to on-chain signals: stablecoin minting and destruction, BTC staking inflows, ETH staking changes, and capture institutional layout trends at any time.

As August 2025 arrives, the global market is at a critical juncture. Although US inflation has fallen from its highs, it is still above the target level, and the Federal Reserve remains vigilant.

At the same time, global growth rates are significantly differentiated: Europe's growth has stagnated and its recovery is weak; China's recovery process is lagging; India and other emerging markets are ahead.

Against this backdrop, Bitcoin and Ethereum play dual roles.

They will rise with risk appetite - when investors chase high returns, they will fall back to the risk aversion attribute when encountering global risk events. On the other hand, as real interest rates are relatively low for a long time, and central banks repeatedly weigh the timing of interest rate hikes and interest rate cuts, they are increasingly regarded as "digital gold."

This August schedule is particularly intensive. U.S. employment and inflation data at the beginning of the month and the end of the month will affect the Fed's policy expectations; Chinese data and PMI in the middle of the month will test the resilience of the global economy; Jackson Hall annual meeting in late August will provide an important "barometer" for the Fed's future orientation.

Coupled with the geopolitical fluctuations caused by the expiration of the Sino-US tariff truce , traders need a clear timetable to decide when to increase their positions in BTC and ETH longs, when to use futures hedges, or to turn idle funds to pledges and earnings products such as XT Earn.

Let’s sort out the major schedule for August and prepare for trading.

A brief overview of macro and policy in August

Major events must be seen in August

August 1: US non-farm employment and unemployment rate★★★★

• – What to see : 147,000 new jobs were added last month, and the market expects to be about 102,000
• – Why it matters : A slowdown in employment increases expectations of rate cuts, usually driving Bitcoin and Ethereum up; conversely, strong data boosts the dollar and yields, triggering a cryptocurrency correction
• – Operation tips : Pay attention to the number of open contracts and capital rates of BTC/USDT futures and ETH/USDT futures

August 12: US CPI year-on-year (July) ★★★

• – What to look at : last month's inflation rate was 2.7%, expected to remain flat
• – Why it matters : Data consistent with expectations will keep the Fed waiting and see, and the market is relatively stable; if it is higher than expectations, yields and the US dollar will rise, which will lead to pressure on Bitcoin and Ethereum
• – Operation Tips : Track U.S. Treasury yields, DXY dollar index, and BTC/USDT spot and ETH/USDT spot trading volumes

Early August: China-US tariff truce expires★★★

• – What to see : The 90-day tariff suspension enters final stage
• – Why is important : If the truce is extended, market risk appetite will rebound and cryptocurrencies will benefit; if the truce is terminated, funds will often pour into stablecoins to avoid risks
• – Operation Tips : Monitor USDC coins and redemption volume, USD index changes, and the depth of BTC/USDT buying and selling orders

August 21–23: Jackson Hole Annual Meeting★★★★

• – What to see : Fed Chairman delivers important speech
• – Why it matters : Dove-dove-like wording may trigger a new round of rises in BTC and ETH; hawkish signals often lead to immediate sales
• – Operation Tips : Pay attention to federal funds futures prices, expected probability of CME Fed interest rates, and fund flows of BTC and ETH ETFs

August 29: Core PCE Year-on-Year-Overall & Second Quarter GDP Estimation★★★

• – What to look at : Core PCE is about 2.3% vs. 2.5%; GDP is about -0.5% vs. 2.5%
• – Why is important : If the economy picks up but inflation remains stubborn, interest rate cuts may be delayed, thereby increasing the risk-averse value of BTC; if PCE unexpectedly weakens, it may once again ignite the momentum of cryptocurrency upward momentum
• – Operation Tips : Pay close attention to changes in the size of Bitcoin ETFs’ management assets and the price trends of BTC/USDT

Weekly Economic Calendar Disassembly in August

Week 1: August 1-7

Two major data were received on August 1. The number of new non-agricultural jobs in the United States is expected to be about 102,000 in July, down from 147,000 in June. If employment growth slows down, the market will increase its bet on interest rate cuts, and Bitcoin and Ethereum will often rise in response; if the data is unexpectedly strong, the yields of the US dollar and Treasury bonds will rise, and BTC and ETH may fall back. The euro zone lightning CPI will also be released on the same day. The stable inflation of 2% annual growth usually keeps the ECB silent, and the volatility range between BTC/EUR and ETH/EUR may expand.

Image Credit: Trading Economics

On August 7, the Bank of England meeting attracted much attention, and the market generally expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points; interest rate cuts usually weaken the pound.

Image Credit: Trading Economics

Operation Tips

• – The volume of US holiday trading is usually low, and it is recommended to expand the stop loss range to prevent being swept out by the lightning market.
• – Pay attention to changes in futures open contracts and identify whether large investors choose to increase positions or exit.
• – Closely keep an eye on the depth of trading orders denominated by euros, and capture the sudden change in BTC/EUR demand.

Week 2: August 8th – 14th

The week was relatively calm, but it was also worth paying attention to. On August 14, the UK will release preliminary GDP data for the second quarter. If there is a contraction or significantly lower than expectations, it will often suppress global risk appetite, which will bring opportunities to buy BTC and ETH.

Image Credit: Trading Economics

Earlier this week, traders need to pay attention to the performance of the Asia-Pacific market, especially if there are policy signals from China, laying the groundwork for the formal release of industrial output and retail data next week.

Operation Tips

• – If the UK GDP unexpectedly weakens, you can find opportunities to buy on dips in the ETH/USDT spot market.
• – Track the trading volume of BTC/USDT futures in the Asia-Pacific region and grasp regional sentiment changes.

Week 3: August 15th – 21st

This week's data is intensive and has a decisive significance for the market direction. If the US CPI on August 12 (2.7% year-on-year) is consistent with expectations, it will usually support cryptocurrency gains; if it is higher than expectations, BTC and ETH tend to pull back quickly.

Image Credit: Trading Economics

Immediately after August 14, China will announce its retail and industrial output in July. If the data exceeds expectations, altcoins and mining-related tokens in the Asia-Pacific market will be boosted. If the People's Bank of China has cut interest rates or other liquidity support around August 20, the futures and spot trading on local exchanges may experience a significant recovery.

Image Credit: Trading Economics

On August 21, Flash PMI data from the United States, Europe and the United Kingdom will be welcomed. If the manufacturing industry continues to fall below the boom and bust line, it will often increase the risk preference of the crypto market; if the service industry data is significantly better than expected, it may temporarily suppress market expectations for interest rate cuts.

Operation Tips

• – Build positions in BTC and ETH in batches before the US CPI, and moderately reduce leverage and prevent risks.
• – You can set up a cross-knock stop loss order on ETH/USDT futures and BTC/USDT futures to catch fluctuations without predicting the direction.
• – Pay attention to the changes in the entrustment book of local exchanges after the release of China’s policy signals, and take the lead in capturing the initial market movement.

Week 4: August 22-28

From August 21 to 23, Jackson Hole's annual meeting took place, and the speech of the Federal Reserve Chairman was a market trend. Dove remarks often trigger a rebound in Bitcoin and Ethereum, while dove warnings will lead to a rapid decline.

Image Credit: Trading Economics

In the same week, the ECB will also release M3 broad money supply data. If the growth rate of M3 accelerates, it will help boost inflation expectations, thereby benefiting crypto assets; if the growth rate slows down, it may aggravate market concerns about economic slowdown and suppress risky assets.

Image Credit: Trading Economics

Operation Tips

• – During Jackson Hall, we paid attention to the flow of federal funds rate futures and ETF funds to judge the institutions’ real demand for BTC and ETH.
• – Track the amount of coins and destruction of stablecoins and figure out the trends of liquidity after changes in the euro zone’s currency supply.

Week 5: August 29-31

The end of the month is often the most intense. On August 29, the Federal Reserve Chairman's speech made another appearance, and welcomed the second-quarter GDP estimate and core PCE inflation data. If economic growth recovers and inflation remains stubborn, it will further postpone the expectation of interest rate cuts and enhance Bitcoin's "macro hedging" attributes; if PCE unexpectedly weakens, it may ignite the upward action energy of cryptocurrencies again.

Image Credit: Trading Economics

Operation Tips

• – Appropriately reduce leverage or turn to cross-period spread strategies to smooth out the end of the month.
• – After the Fed's speech, it closely tracked changes in the asset scale of Bitcoin ETFs and confirmed the inflow of institutional funds.

Risk management and precautions

Beware of false breakthroughs

• – Major events often start with “rumored buying” and “facts sold” after the data is released. When Bitcoin or Ethereum breaks through the key price, it is recommended to wait until the daily closing confirms before adding positions.

Prevent flash crashes

• – Big headlines can sometimes trigger instant killing, especially for small-cap currencies operated by leverage. Trading can be suspended immediately after release, or a looser stop loss can be set for such tokens.

Pay attention to slippage and spread

• – Market liquidity is prone to dry up when the holiday is approaching or when the policy is announced. Large BTC or ETH trading is recommended to split into multiple transactions, or be completed through off-market (OTC) to reduce slippage costs.

Pay attention to the "bottleneck" of stablecoins

• – Regulatory changes may cause stablecoin redemption to slow down. It is recommended to reserve a portion of funds in non-algorithmic dollar assets to prevent the inability to withdraw funds in time when the liquidity of stablecoins is suddenly tight.

Frequently Asked Questions about August Economic Calendar

1. Which August events are most critical to the crypto market?

The speeches were given by the US non-farm on August 1, the US CPI on August 12, the Jackson Hall annual meeting from August 21 to 23, and the secondary estimate of core PCE and second quarter GDP on August 29. These announcements often trigger the largest fluctuations in BTC and ETH.

2. How to prepare before major data is released?

It is recommended to build positions in bitcoin and Ethereum in batches a few days in advance, and then reduce leverage before the data is released. If on-chain liquidity is weakened, idle funds can be placed into earning products such as XT Earn.

3. What are the suitable ordering methods on the release date?

One order cancellation of another order (OCO) and a trade-to-trade stop loss order are most practical in the BTC/USDT or ETH/USDT futures market, and can capture the market without predicting the direction.

4. How to distinguish between true and false breakthroughs?

Real trends are usually accompanied by large trading volume. Whether it is spot or futures, if prices rise or fall, lack trading volume support, it is likely to be a short-term false breakthrough.

5. Do pledge strategies need to be adjusted when fluctuations are severe?

need. Blockbuster events will affect pledge yield and liquidity. Be sure to dynamically adjust the ratio of Bitcoin staking and Ethereum staking based on the on-chain staking inflow.

The above is the detailed content of 5 major economic events that crypto traders must not miss in August: Your BTC and ETH investment strategy. For more information, please follow other related articles on the PHP Chinese website!