How to play contracts in the currency circle without losing money
Jul 29, 2025 pm 02:54 PMIt is almost impossible to not lose money when trading contracts in the currency circle, because the contract itself is a highly leveraged and high-risk financial instrument, but through scientific strategies and strict risk control, the probability of loss can be significantly reduced. Here are the key points:
1. Reject gambler mentality
The mentality of trying to get 1 million with 100U is destined to be a bankrupt. The essence of a contract is an arbitrage tool rather than a bet. It needs to be viewed from a spot thinking: only take action when there are certain opportunities in large cycles (such as Bitcoin halving and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut), and the annual transaction number is controlled at 3-5 times.
2. Leverage Control Rules
Bitcoin/Ethereum should not exceed 10 times, and altcoins should not exceed 5 times. Actual position = margin × leverage, 10 times opening 10 times is only equivalent to 10,000 U spot, avoiding excessive exposure of risks.
3. Dynamic stop loss strategy
Fixed stop loss (such as -10%) combines technical stop loss. For example, when going long, stop loss immediately after falling below the 4-hour level EMA20; after breaking through the previous high, move the stop loss up to the breakthrough point, forming a "mobile fortress".
4. Position Management Pyramid
The first position shall not exceed 5% of the total funds. After the floating profit is 50%, the position shall be increased by 2%, and the profit shall be increased by 100%. For example, the principal of 10,000 US dollars will not exceed 500U.
5. Hedging arbitrage skills
Cross-period arbitrage: When the quarterly contract premium exceeds 5%, short contracts buy spot hedging
Cross-income price spread: leverage the price difference between Binance and OKX to place orders on both sides when the price difference is greater than 0.3%.
6. Data-based transaction discipline
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Create a transaction log and record each order:
Entry basis (such as "Daily MACD Golden Cross trading volume amplified by 20%")
Position time (forced resuming after more than 72 hours)
Emotional state (avoiding fatigue/excitement when trading)
7. Black Swan Coping Plan
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Reserve 30% USDC to deal with extreme market conditions, when BTC fluctuates by more than 15% in a single day:
Close 50% of the position immediately
Set 10% trailing stop loss for remaining positions
Disable leverage and wait for the volatility index (BVOL) to fall below 60
Real case: During the Silicon Valley banking crisis in March 2023, traders who strictly enforced the above rules lost 8% in the short term, but achieved a 23% profit in two weeks through subsequent hedging transactions.
Remember: The survival rule of the contract market is not "never lose money", but "small losses and big profits". The profit-loss ratio of professional traders generally remains above 1:3, that is, they are willing to use the trial and error cost of 10,000 yuan to capture profit opportunities of more than 30,000 yuan. The winning rate is counted every month. If it is below 40% for three consecutive months, the trading should be stopped immediately for one month to review the strategy.
The above is the detailed content of How to play contracts in the currency circle without losing money. For more information, please follow other related articles on the PHP Chinese website!

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