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Table of Contents
目錄
比特幣市占率多年來是如何演變的?
比特幣市占率目前徘徊在?12?年平均值?62.5%?附近
比特幣市占率的關(guān)鍵水平
比特幣市占率發(fā)展歷史(2013 - 2025?年)
2013?年至?2016?年:比特幣壟斷加密市場
2017?年至?2018?年:ICO?和山寨幣蓋過比特幣的光芒
2019?年至?2020?年:第三次減半之際比特幣重新占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位
2021?年至?2022?年:山寨幣重新彰顯影響力
2023?年至?2025?年:比特幣走向主流
Home web3.0 Overview of Bitcoin (BTC) market share 12 years of historical evolution

Overview of Bitcoin (BTC) market share 12 years of historical evolution

Jul 30, 2025 pm 09:51 PM
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目錄
  • 比特幣市占率多年來是如何演變的?
    • 比特幣市占率目前徘徊在?12?年平均值?62.5%?附近
  • 比特幣市占率的關(guān)鍵水平
    • 比特幣市占率發(fā)展歷史(2013 - 2025?年)
      • 2013?年至?2016?年:比特幣壟斷加密市場
      • 2017?年至?2018?年:ICO?和山寨幣蓋過比特幣的光芒
      • 2019?年至?2020?年:第三次減半之際比特幣重新占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位
      • 2021?年至?2022?年:山寨幣重新彰顯影響力
      • 2023?年至?2025?年:比特幣走向主流
    ?

    該研究考察了 2013 年 4 月 29 日至 2025 年 7 月 22 日期間比特幣的單日市占率,數(shù)據(jù)來源于 CoinGecko。

    縱覽比特幣(BTC)市占率 12 年歷史演變

    比特幣市占率多年來是如何演變的?

    從 2013 年到 2025 年的這 12 年間,比特幣在加密市場的市占率波動(dòng)幅度較大,在歷史最低點(diǎn) 31.1% 和早期的最高點(diǎn) 99.1% 之間起伏。在此期間,比特幣的日市占率有三分之二的時(shí)間都保持在 50.0% 或更高。換言之,在這 12 年中,比特幣在加密市場占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位的時(shí)間長達(dá) 8 年之久。

    從年度來看,比特幣的日均市占率連續(xù)五年下降,從 2013 年的 93.3%降至 2018 年的 44.6%。2019 年市占率反彈至 60.2%,2020 年為 62.7%,隨后在 2021 年又降至 47.6%,2022 年為 39.3%。

    自 2023 年以來,比特幣的市占率再次穩(wěn)步上升,2023 年的年平均值為 45.6%,2024 年為 51.9%,2025 年至今為 59.3%。這意味著 2025 年比特幣的市占率目前徘徊在 12 年的日均值 62.5%左右。

    比特幣市占率目前徘徊在?12?年平均值?62.5%?附近

    縱覽比特幣(BTC)市占率 12 年歷史演變

    統(tǒng)計(jì)日期:2013 年 4 月 29 日至 2025 年 7 月 22 日

    比特幣市占率的關(guān)鍵水平

    自 2016 年 2 月以來,比特幣的市占率一直遠(yuǎn)低于 90%。這反映了 2017 年 ICO 熱潮和首次山寨幣牛市之后加密市場走向成熟的轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn),當(dāng)時(shí)主流山寨幣的數(shù)量增加,其市值也有所增長。

    同樣,在 2021 年 1 月 3 日勉強(qiáng)錄得 70.7%之后,比特幣的市占率有所下降,并一直在 70% 以下。這意味著在過去 12 年中,比特幣的日均市占率只有三分之一的時(shí)間達(dá)到 70% 或更高。比特幣的市占率是否會再次突破 70.0%這一門檻,還有待觀察。

    值得注意的是,在 2025 年 4 月 7 日,比特幣的市占率上升至 60.5%,這是四年多來首次突破 60% 的門檻。比特幣市占率上次超過這一門檻是在 2021 年 3 月 15 日,當(dāng)時(shí)達(dá)到了 60.6%。在過去 12 年中,比特幣的市占率低于 60.0% 的時(shí)間超過一半。

    比特幣市占率發(fā)展歷史(2013 - 2025?年)

    2013 年至 2025 年比特幣市占率的年度平均值、最低值和最高值如下。

    縱覽比特幣(BTC)市占率 12 年歷史演變

    2013?年至?2016?年:比特幣壟斷加密市場

    2013 年至 2016 年期間,比特幣在加密市場占據(jù)市占率,其日均市占率在每年的 82.6% 至 93.3% 之間。在這一新興時(shí)期,盡管比特幣價(jià)格有所回調(diào),且美國首次針對當(dāng)時(shí)的比特幣交易所 Mt. Gox 采取了重大監(jiān)管行動(dòng),但比特幣在加密領(lǐng)域的市占率仍于 2013 年 5 月 29 日達(dá)到了 99.1% 的峰值。

    盡管比特幣在加密市場中占據(jù)著絕大多數(shù)份額,但在此期間,比特幣的市占率經(jīng)歷了三次最大的波動(dòng):

    • 2014 年 3 月 29 日,比特幣的市占率較前一日下降了 10.9 個(gè)百分點(diǎn),從 89.6%降至 78.7%。這發(fā)生在 Mt. Gox 崩潰之后,可歸因于加密總市值的大幅上漲隨后又得到修正。
    • 2015 年 1 月 15 日,比特幣的市占率急劇下降了 16.2 個(gè)百分點(diǎn),從 80.2%降至 64.0%。這一驟跌是由比特幣價(jià)格從前一天的 221 美元跌至 172 美元所驅(qū)動(dòng),其標(biāo)志著 Bitstamp 中心化交易所遭黑客攻擊后的熊市底部。
    • 2015 年 1 月 16 日,比特幣的市占率回升至 80.7%,較前一日上升了 16.7 個(gè)百分點(diǎn),而比特幣價(jià)格也回升至 211 美元。

    2017?年至?2018?年:ICO?和山寨幣蓋過比特幣的光芒

    在接下來的兩年里,比特幣的市占率進(jìn)一步下降,在 2017 年由 ICO 推動(dòng)的山寨幣牛市和 2018 年的熊市期間,比特幣的市占率跌至新低,遠(yuǎn)低于 80% 和 70% 的門檻。2017 年 5 月 16 日,比特幣首次低于 50%,達(dá)到 48.5%。值得注意的是,2018 年 1 月 16 日,比特幣的市占率創(chuàng)下 31.1% 的歷史新低,比特幣價(jià)格從 14,412 美元暴跌至 11,724 美元。

    在過去的 12 年里,比特幣的市占率在 2017 年波動(dòng)最大,年初時(shí)為 87.2%,到 6 月 19 日時(shí)縮減了一半多,降至 37.6%。在下半年,比特幣的市占率曾短暫上升,隨后又跌至 37.5% 的年度低點(diǎn),之后在 12 月 7 日反彈至 66%,最終在年底收于 38.9%。

    另一方面,2018 年比特幣的市占率總體呈上升趨勢,從年初的 37.4% 增長至年末的 52%。

    2019?年至?2020?年:第三次減半之際比特幣重新占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位

    2019 年和 2020 年,比特幣重新奪回了加密市場的主導(dǎo)地位,其占比維持在 48.8% 至 72.5% 之間。這一時(shí)期比特幣重新占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位是由多種因素共同作用的結(jié)果:主要是對 2020 年 5 月第三次比特幣減半的預(yù)期,以及在 ICO 熱潮之后投資者重新回歸優(yōu)質(zhì)資產(chǎn),早期機(jī)構(gòu)將比特幣視為“數(shù)字黃金”的興趣,還有比特幣在 2020 年“ DeFi 之夏”中作為入金窗口的作用。

    2021?年至?2022?年:山寨幣重新彰顯影響力

    在 2021 年的牛市和 2022 年因疫情引發(fā)的崩盤期間,比特幣的市占率持續(xù)下降了 30.9 個(gè)百分點(diǎn),從 69.5%降至 38.6%。在這兩年間,隨著山寨幣逐漸站穩(wěn)腳跟并開始在加密市場發(fā)揮更大影響力,比特幣的市占率不斷下降。

    在此期間,每 10 天中有 8 天,比特幣在加密市場中所占份額低于 50%。也就是說,在 730 天中,有 624 天比特幣的市占率低于 50.0%。

    具體來說,在 2021 年,盡管比特幣的價(jià)格從 29022 美元上漲至歷史新高,并在年底收于 47192 美元,漲幅達(dá) 62.6%,但比特幣的市占率仍從年初的 69.5% 下降到年底的 38.2%。相比之下,在同一時(shí)期,整個(gè)加密市場的總市值表現(xiàn)優(yōu)于比特幣,從 7764 億美元飆升至 2.3 萬億美元,漲幅達(dá) 200.6%。

    2022 年,比特幣的市占率從 37.9% 開始,以 38.6% 結(jié)束,因?yàn)楸忍貛艃r(jià)格下跌 64.2%,與整個(gè)加密市場 64.1% 的跌幅一致。換言之,比特幣本身直接受到了 Terra-Luna 和 FTX 崩盤的影響,投資者紛紛轉(zhuǎn)向法定貨幣以降低風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。

    2023?年至?2025?年:比特幣走向主流

    在過去的三年里,比特幣的市占率穩(wěn)步上升,從 2023 年初的 38.4% 增長到 2025 年至今的 58.5%。比特幣市占率的回升反映了加密市場的結(jié)構(gòu)性轉(zhuǎn)變,得益于 2024 年 1 月美國現(xiàn)貨比特幣 ETF 的獲批以及 FTX 崩潰后監(jiān)管環(huán)境的日益清晰,比特幣獲得了主流認(rèn)可和機(jī)構(gòu)采用。

    值得注意的是,比特幣的市占率變得越來越穩(wěn)定,其變化幅度較小,在 -1.2 個(gè)百分點(diǎn)到 +1.6 個(gè)百分點(diǎn)之間。相比之下,在 2013 年至 2016 年期間,比特幣的市占率波動(dòng)范圍為 -16.2 個(gè)百分點(diǎn)到 +16.7 個(gè)百分點(diǎn);而在 2017 年至 2022 年期間,其波動(dòng)范圍為 -8.8 個(gè)百分點(diǎn)到 +7.0 個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。

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